Title | Operationalizing resilience using state and transition models |
Publication Type | Conference Paper |
Year of Publication | 2015 |
Authors | Bestelmeyer BT |
Conference Name | 68th World Congress on Ecological Restoration |
Date Published | 08/2015 |
Conference Location | Manchester, UK |
ARIS Log Number | 319946 |
Abstract | In management, restoration, and policy contexts, the notion of resilience can be confusing. Systematic development of conceptual models of ecological state change (state transition models; STMs) can help overcome semantic confusion and promote a mechanistic understanding of resilience. Drawing on examples from rangelands, I describe basic state change concepts (equilibrium, nonequilibrium, and regime shifts) and how they are matched (or mismatched) to specific ecosystems via historical, comparative, experimental, and monitoring evidence. A key issue is to distinguish regime shifts from other forms of state change. STMs should distinguish strategies used to prevent regime shifts vs. the restoration and management of historical/hybrid/novel ecosystems following a regime shift. Important challenges in the development of STMs include 1) defining reference conditions, 2) considering climate change, and 3) information delivery to users. Paper No. SY48.2. |