@article {49866,
	title = {Runoff responses to long-term rainfall variability in a shrub-dominated catchment},
	journal = {Journal of Arid Environments},
	volume = {91},
	year = {2013},
	month = {01/2013},
	pages = {88-94},
	chapter = {88},
	abstract = {In this study we investigate how rainfall has changed between two nine year periods (1977-1985 and 2003-2011), and evaluate the effects of changes in rainfall on runoff from a shrub-dominated catchment in the southwestern USA. Analysis of rainfall characteristics shows that between these two periods there is an overall increase in annual rainfall, which corresponds with a long-term increase in rainfall in this region. Analysis of the frequency-magnitude distribution of rainfall events during these two periods indicates that there has not been a significant change in the return period of daily rainfall totals, whereas there has been a significant change in the return period of runoff-generating rainfall events. Between the two periods, there has been a large increase in the return period for a runoff event of a given magnitude. Although there has been an increase in rainfall between the two periods, results show that, contrary to<br />
	what might be expected, an overall increase in rainfall has not resulted in an increase in runoff because of a change in the frequency-magnitude distribution of runoff-generating rainfall events. We anticipate that this reduction in runoff is due to a reduction in rainfall intensities between the two periods.\&nbsp; \&copy; 2013 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jaridenv.2012.12.002">http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jaridenv.2012.12.002</a>},
	keywords = {climate change, frequency, magnitude, rainfall, runoff response, Tromble Weir},
	doi = {10.1016/j.jaridenv.2012.12.002},
	url = {/files/bibliography/13-004.pdf},
	author = {Turnbull, L. and A.J. Parsons and John Wainwright and John P. Anderson}
}
